2 Former speechwriters for President Obama have a podcast called Pod Save America. And today they spoke about the statistical likelihood of a Trump victory even with the lagging in the polls. They noted that Trump was down to Hillary in 2016 about the same margin and still had major wins in the Electoral College. They noted that Republican voter and party registration is slightly outpacing Democratic registration and the most interesting claim that stuck out the me, is they claim that based on 2016 voting trends, poll trends and historical analysis, that if 4% of Trump voter base vote in 2020 that didn’t vote in 2016, particularly white middle class, suburbanites, and if 4% of people of color, minorities and generally liberal demographics such as LGBT people that voted in 2016 but don’t vote in 2020 or don’t vote blue, they speechwriters believe that Trump would have a nearly razors edge win. Their main message on that Podcast episode is they do not believe that either side will have a landslide and that it will come down to the wire. Now this is all just claims and personally I can’t verify any of the data they stated in the podcast but I still would find this information reasonably credible. What would you say regarding their 8% voter claim or just the general chances of a Trump or Biden win?